Polstrat-NewsX Pre-Poll Survey
India News, New Delhi:
The Polstrat-NewsX pre-poll survey has predicted that the Bhartiya Janata Party is expected to retain power in Uttar Pradesh in the upcoming assembly elections. Of the 403 seats, BJP+ is expected to win 218-223 seats with a 40.9% vote share. SP+ is expected to emerge as a strong opposition by securing 152-157 seats with a 36.4% vote share.
Predictions suggest that it would be a tough task for BSP and INC to keep their ground in the election battlefield up against BJP & SP. While BSP is expected to get 19-22 seats with a 12.3% vote share, INC is expected to secure only 5-6 seats with a 5.9% vote share. Others are expected to get 0-2% seats with a 4.5% vote share.
Favorite CM Candidate
47.51% of the respondents want to see Yogi Adityanath retain his chief ministerial candidature in 2022. The survey reveals that Yogi Adityanath is equally popular amongst female (49.14%) and male (51.51%) respondents, more popular in the age bracket 36-45 years (55.62%) compared to rest, amongst Upper Caste Hindus (64%), and in the Awadh region (62.74%) than others.
SP’s Akhilesh Yadav has emerged as a strong contender against Yogi Adityanath. 38.93% of the respondents opted for Akhilesh as their choice for Chief Minister in 2022. Votes of the remaining respondents split amongst Mayawati (5.31%), Priyanka Gandhi Vadra (3.42%), and others (4.83%).
Poll Rallies Amid Omicron Surge
When asked about conducting physical poll rallies amid a surge in Omicron cases, a whopping 60.8% of respondents disagreed with the idea, whereas only 24.75% of respondents were in favor of the idea.
Will Religion Be A Deciding Factor?
46.52% of respondents believe that religion will be a deciding factor in the polls, 4.32% said to some extent; while 39.23% said it is not, and the remaining 9.94% said they can’t say/don’t know.
Law & Order Situation
A majority of respondents (78.68%) lauded the improvement in the law & order situation of the state. However, only 47.30% of the total respondents see the change as drastic. 31.38% of the total respondents say that there has been only a slight improvement. On the other hand, 12.67% of respondents say that the law & order in the state has deteriorated under the Yogi government.
Congress Responsible For PM Modi’s Security Breach In Punjab?
Lastly, 46.28% of the respondents blamed Punjab’s Congress government for mishandling PM Modi’s security in the state. 30.42% of the respondents were of a completely opposite opinion on the issue.